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thunderstorm
hazards our thanks
http://www.raa.asn.au/ (Copyright John Brandon)

Thunderstorms may be
classified in four generalised types single-cell, isolated
multicell cluster, multicell squall line (refer 9.6 below) and
supercell, although supercells are also multi-cellular. Their
associated surface winds may be both high velocity and extremely
turbulent, originating from the downdraughts of cold, dense air.
Single-cell storms are usually isolated
storms moving with the mid-level wind, common in summer and
occurring in conditions where the wind velocity, relative to the
cell motion, does not change markedly with height. (Cb development
has to be strong to overcome the detrimental effects of vertical
wind shear). A single cell storm may last less than 30 minutes, its
life being limited to the growth and collapse of a single updraught
pulse. The diameter of the storm may be less than one nautical mile
and it will not move very far in its lifetime less than 3 nm in
light winds. Such storms do not usually produce violent wind shear
near the surface although microbursts may descend from even a mild
looking Cb.
Isolated single cell storms, embedded in low
level cloud layers, commonly form in cold winter air streams. They
are generally frequent, but short-lived, with soft hail and shallow
wind gusts, and caused by de-stabilisation of the cold air mass.
They can be accentuated by orographic effects.
Multicell
cluster storms, the most common, consist of a series of
updraught pulses (cells) which may be separated by time and/or
distance and be closely or widely spaced but moving as a single
unit. They may cycle through strong and weak phases, strength being
indicated by closeness of pulses. Frontal, pre-frontal, heat-trough
and convergence zone systems may produce very vigorous storms
several miles wide and, by continually propagating new cells, last
an hour or more before the cool outflow finally undercuts and chokes
off, or smothers, the warm inflow and the system collapses. Each new
cell is usually formed in the zone of maximum convergence
where the gust front directly opposes the low level wind.

Weaker multicell
storms advance with or to the left of the prevailing mid-level wind
( i.e. that about base height plus one third of the cloud
depth) at an average rate of 10 knots or so, but the strongest
storms may turn almost at right angles to the wind. Cells will move
with the prevailing mid-level wind but because of the wind change
with height the new cells form on the left, if the wind backs with
height, and on the right if it veers. Thus the storm turns towards
the flank where the new updraughts are building the flanking
line, which is a line of Cu or TCu stepped up to the most active
cell. If the new cells are forming on the upwind side, usually to
the west or north-west a back-building storm it may
appear to move slowly, possibly staying in one place for
considerable time.
Strong updraught / weak downdraught
storms often form in conditions where there is moist air at most
levels. Such storms produce heavy rain and may produce severe hail
but, because of the lack of dry air inflow, severe low level shear
is unlikely.
In severe storms, with strong updraughts and
downdraughts, updraught velocities increase with height, typically
1500 feet per minute at 5000 feet and 3000 feet per minute at 20 000
feet. Updraughts of 5000 feet per minute in the upper part of a
storm are not unusual. Downdraught velocities tend to be slightly
less at corresponding altitudes.
There is an area of extreme low level
shear at the leading edge of the storm between the nose of the shelf
cloud and where the gust front has reached, possibly 1 3 nm ahead
of the rain curtain. Shear at the trailing edge is not quite as
severe, as velocity there equals gust speed minus the speed of storm
advance.
Vertical wind shear is usually detrimental to early
development of Cb cells, however if there is:
-
strong vertical wind
shear, backing and strengthening with height,
-
associated with a
deep surface layer of warm moist air,
-
below a mid-level
layer of dry air,
-
with an inversion
separating the layers,
-
and a rapid decrease
in temperature with height above the inversion,
-
then the ideal
conditions are created for a severe multicell storm. Or a
supercell storm if the surface wind is greater than 20 knots and
the vertical wind shear exceeds about five knots for each 3000
feet.
The capping
inversion keeps the lid on development until the lifting force
builds up sufficiently to burst through the inversion and great
buoyancy develops in the colder upper layer. Upper level divergence
and a jetstream will also enhance the vertical motion.
Strong wind shear both tilts the updraught and provides the
means to rotate it (storm updraughts usually do not rotate)
leading to the development of a supercell storm. A supercell
is a severe storm with a continuing, organised strong main updraught
with usually slight rotation (helicity) and co-existing
strong downdraughts, controlling and directing the inflow ( which
may have a velocity of 30 50 knots) into the cell from the
surrounding atmosphere. It will usually diverge to the left of the
prevailing mid-level wind.
There may be broad anti-clockwise
rotation as viewed from below of the cloud base beneath the main
updraught. Humid, rain cooled air from the downdraught may also be
pulled into the normal inflow (which is often visible as scud
beneath the Cb) causing part of the cloud base to lower, forming a
circular wall cloud at the updraught base, and if vorticity
increases within the cloud, a tornadic funnel may form. A gustnado
may form under a shelf at the leading edge of the gust front.
Broadscale rotation of a storm cell forms a
mesocyclone one to ten nm in diameter with a surface pressure
drop of a few hPa at the centre although a 30 hPa drop has been
recorded. Supercells may last for several hours as organised systems
and commonly form in warm, moist north / north-east flow into a
surface trough and along a dividing range during summer.
A microburst is a strong
concentrated plunge of cold dense air from a convective cloud. Peak
wind gusts usually last less than ten minutes, often 3 to 5 minutes,
but extremely hazardous vertical and horizontal shear results. It
may be dry or associated with precipitation ranging from virga
showers to heavy rain showers wet. A curling outflow foot of
dust or precipitation from the surface touchdown point may be
visible near the surface.

Microbursts are
generally associated with hot and relatively dry conditions at low
levels (such as found in inland Australia), convectively unstable
moist air aloft with high (5000 to 15 000 feet) based Cu or TCu. If
the cloud is forming when the surface temperature/dewpoint spread is
15 °C to 25 °C then the microburst potential is high. The high
spread means the atmosphere can hold much more water vapour. Rain
falling in, and from, the cloud is evaporating (virga), thus cooling
the entrained air and resulting in downward acceleration of the
denser air. Significant hail is
unlikely. The most dangerous area is the horizontal density current
vortex ring close to the touchdown point. The ring moves outward
from the contact point at high velocity (up to 150 knots) until it
disintegrates into several horizontal roll vortices spread around
the periphery and which may continue to provide extreme shear for
several minutes. The maximum horizontal winds occur about 100 feet
above ground level.

Microbursts occur
under 5% 10% of Cb (refer 9.5 below) but a less concentrated,
longer lasting gust front macroburst is normally associated
with the entire cold air outflow of larger storm cells. The severe
gust fronts from a microburst extend for less than 4 km, those from
a macroburst extend for more than 4 km. The vertical gusts within
the downburst, perhaps with a velocity twice the mean, may produce a
microburst within the macroburst.
Squall
Lines

The precipitation
downdraught associated with an individual cell tends to be
concentrated towards the leading edge of the storm where the cold
heavy outflow spreads out at ground level forming a small high
pressure cell, a meso-high, 10 15 nm across. The dense air
lifts the warmer, moist air in its path and may initiate a self
amplifying convective complex, in which neighbouring storm
cells consolidate into a towering squall line of large
thunderstorm cells ranged across the prevailing wind direction. At
locations in the path of the squall line the resultant line
squall occurs as a sharp backing in wind direction, severe
gusts, temperature drop, hail or heavy rain and possibly tornadoes.
If the squall line is formed in an environment of strong mid-level
winds the surface gusts may exceed 50 knots.
Squall lines
vary in length, some of the longest being those which develop in a
pre-frontal trough 50 -100 nm ahead of a cold front. These squall
lines may be several hundred nautical miles in length and 10 25 nm
wide moving at typically 25 knots. The pre-frontal lines form ahead
of the front as upper air flow develops waves ahead of the front;
downward wave flow inhibiting and upward wave flow favouring,
uplift.
During daylight hours the squall line may appear as
a wall of advancing cloud with spreading cirrus plume but the most
severe effects will be close to each of the numerous Cb cells. The
convective complex releases a tremendous amount of latent heat and
moisture which may be sufficient to generate a warm core
mesoscale cyclone lasting several days.
Lightning

The electrostatic
structure within Cb, or Cu con, is such that pockets of different
charge exist throughout the cloud but, in 90% or more, with a main
net positive charge residing on the cloud ice crystals in the upper
part of the cloud and a main net negative charge, of similar
magnitude, centred near the middle or lower part of the cloud at the
sub-freezing level, the charge mainly residing on supercooled
droplets. A smaller positive charge centre may exist at the bottom
of the cloud where temperatures are above freezing. The
electrostatic forces of repulsion / attraction induce secondary
charge accumulations outside the cloud, a positive region on the
earths surface directly below the cloud. Above the cloud positive
ions are transferred away from and negative ions are transferred
toward the cloud.
One favoured theory for the charge
separation mechanism is the 'precipitation' theory which suggests
that the disintegration of large raindrops and the interaction
between the smaller cloud particles and the larger precipitation
particles in the up / downdraughts causes the separation of
electrical charge, with downward motion of negatively charged cloud
and precipitation particles and upward motion of positively charged
cloud particles.
Discharge channels
Lightning is a flow of
current, or discharge, along an ionized channel that equalizes the
charge difference between two regions of opposite charge, occurring
when the charge potentials exceed the electrical resistance of the
intervening air. These discharges can be between the charged regions
of the same cloud (intra-cloud), between the cloud and the
ground (cloud-to-ground), between separate clouds
(cloud-to-cloud) or between the base of a cloud and a charge
centre in the atmosphere underneath it (cloud-to-air). The
discharge channels, or streamers, propagate themselves
through the air by establishing, and maintaining, an avalanche
effect of free electrons which ionize atoms in their path. Lightning
rates, particularly intra-cloud strokes, increase greatly with
increase in the depth of clouds. Cloud-to-cloud and cloud-to-air
discharges are rare but tend to be more common in the high based Cb
found in the drier areas of Australia. Discharges above the Cb anvil
into the stratosphere and mesosphere also occur.
When
intra-cloud lightning the most common discharge occurs, it is
most often between the upper positive and the middle negative
centres. The discharge path is established by a stepped
leader, the initial lightning streamer which grows in stages
and splits into more and more branches as it moves forward seeking
an optimal path between the charge centres. The second, and
subsequent, lightning strokes in a composite flash are initiated by
dart leaders, streamers which generally follow the optimum
ionized channel established by the stepped leader. The associated
electrical current probably peaks at a few thousand amperes. A
distant observer cannot see the streamers but sees portion of the
cloud become luminous, for maybe less than 0.5 seconds, hence
'sheet lightning'.
Cloud-to-ground
discharges

Most cloud-to-ground
discharges occur between the main negatively charged region and the
surface, initially by a stepped leader from the region which usually
exhibits branching channels as it seeks an optimal path. When the
stepped leader makes contact, directly with the earth or with a
ground streamer, which is another electrical breakdown
initiated from the surface positive charge region and which rises a
short distance from the surface, the cloud is short-circuited to
ground and to complete each lightning stroke a return
streamer, or return stroke, propagates upwards. (The return
streamer starts as positive ions which capture the free electrons
flowing down the channel and emit photons. The streamer carries more
positive ions upward and their interaction with the free flowing
electrons gives the impression of upwards movement.) The charge
on the branches of the stepped leader that have not been grounded
flow into the return streamer. Subsequent strokes in the composite
flash are initiated by dart leaders with a return streamer following
each contact. The return streamer, lasting 20 40 microseconds,
propagates a current carrying core a few cm in diameter with a
current density of 1000 amperes per cm² and a total current
typically 20 000 amps but peaks could be much greater. A charged
sheath or corona, a few metres in diameter, exists around the core.
The stroke sequence of dart leader / return streamer occurs several
times in each flash to ground, giving it a flickering appearance.
Each stroke draws charge from successively higher regions of the Cb
and transfers a negative charge to the surface. Return streamers
occur only in cloud-to-ground discharges and are so intense because
of the earths high conductivity. Some rare discharges between cloud
and ground are initiated from high surface structures or mountain
peaks, by an upward moving stepped leader and referred to as a
ground-to-cloud discharge. Rather rarely an overhanging
anvil-to-ground discharge can be triggered by heavy charge
accumulation in the anvil and the high magnitude strike can move
many kilometres from the storm a 'bolt from the blue'.
The
temperature of the ionised plasma in the return streamer is at least
30 000 °C and the pressure is greater than 10 atmospheres,
causing supersonic expansion of the channel which absorbs most of
the dissipated energy in the flash. The shockwave lasts for 10 20
microseconds and moves out several hundred metres before decaying
into the sound wave thunder with maximum energy at about 50
hertz. The shock wave can damage objects in its path. The channel
length is typically 5 km and channel length can be roughly
determined by timing the thunder rumble after the initial clap, e.g.
a rumble lasts for 10 seconds x 335 m/sec = 3.3 km channel length.
When a lightning stroke occurs within 150 m or so the observer hears
the shockwave as a single high pitched bang.
Red sprites and blue
jets

When large cloud to
ground lightning discharges occur below an extensive Cb cluster,
which has a spreading stratiform anvil, other discharges are
generated above the anvil. These discharges are in the form of
flashes of light lasting just a few milliseconds and probably not
observable by the untrained, naked eye but readily recorded on low
light video.
Red sprites are very large but weak
flashes of light emitted by excited nitrogen atoms and equivalent in
intensity to a moderate auroral arc. They extend from the anvil to
the mesopause at an altitude up to 90 km. The brightest parts exist
between 60 75 km, red in colour and with a faint red glow
extending above. Blue filaments may appear below the brightest
region. Sprites usually occur in clusters which may extend 50 km
horizontally. Blue jets are ejected above the Cb core and
flash upward in narrow cones which fade out at about 50 km. These
optical emissions are not aligned with the local magnetic
field.
St. Elmo's Fire
St. Elmo's fire is a
plasma (i.e. a hot, ionized gas) that forms around the tips of
raised, pointed conductors during thunderstorms. It is known as a
corona discharge or point discharge to physicists. The
few people that have had the privilege of viewing an actual St.
Elmo's fire have given various descriptions. It has been seen with
different physical characteristics depending on the conditions of
the viewing. It could be blue to bluish-white, silent to emitting a
hissing sound, and ghostly to solid.
St. Elmo's fire occurs
during thunderstorms - generally after the most severe part of the
storm has passed - when the air reaches a very high voltage. These
conditions are necessary to accumulate a charge large enough to
create the phenomenon. It is always found attached to a
grounded conductor with a sharp point; the most common are masts of
sailing ships, church steeples, airplane wings or propellers, or
even horns of cattle. The non-attached version of St. Elmo's fire is
known as Ball Lightning.
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